Atlas of AI Buildout

Atlas / Tiers / Power & Grid

Tier

Power & Grid

Electricity, gas turbines, transformers and grid connection

5supply sub-layers · 54 suppliers · 77 countries ranked

Sub-layers

Each sub-layer carries a substitutability weight between 0 and 1: how hard it would be to replace the countries that supply it. A high weight sitting on a concentrated share is what makes a chokepoint.

Sub-layerSubstitutabilityGrade
GenerationElectricity generated nationally that serves data-centre load.0.00—
Turbines & prime moversHeavy-duty and aeroderivative gas turbines. The tightest sub-layer in the tier: three OEMs supply roughly two-thirds of gas plants under construction, and order books run years deep.0.95B
Transformers & switchgearLarge power transformers, HV switchgear and protection. Lead times have stretched from months to years.0.80C
Cables & HVDCHV and HVDC cable systems. European makers hold roughly two-thirds of HVDC specifically; the wider HV cable market is less concentrated.0.90C
Interconnection & queuesConnection policy and queue depth — the constraint that most often decides where load can actually land.0.00—
On-site power & backupReciprocating gensets, UPS, and increasingly on-site generation used to bridge grid connection timelines.0.45C
Nuclear & SMRReactor vendors and small modular reactor programmes. Long-dated relative to the buildout, but heavily contracted against it.0.70C

Physical: where the assets sit

Ranked by data-centre electricity (twh/yr) · 77 countries with a non-zero value

Ranked by where the asset physically sits. Ireland enters near the top because data centres reached 23% of its metered electricity — a fifth of a national grid.
#CountryData-centre electricity (TWh/yr)
1United States176 TWh A
2China104 TWh B
3Japan19 TWh B
4Germany9 TWh B
5Ireland7.7 TWh A
6United Kingdom7.5 TWh B
7India6.5 TWh B
8Singapore6 TWh B
9South Korea6 TWh B
10France5.4 TWh B
11Australia5 TWh B
12Canada4 TWh B
13Netherlands3.8 TWh B
14Malaysia3.5 TWh B
15Russia3.1 TWh B

Top 15 of 77. The full ranking is in the interactive atlas.

Ownership: who books the revenue

Ranked by domiciled supplier revenue ($bn) · 17 countries with a non-zero value

Ranked by corporate domicile. Switzerland appears on Hitachi Energy and ABB alone: it owns grid-equipment revenue it does not physically host.
#CountryDomiciled supplier revenue ($bn)
1United States96 $bn B
2France75 $bn B
3China73 $bn C
4Japan69 $bn B
5Switzerland32 $bn B
6Denmark32 $bn C
7Germany28 $bn B
8United Kingdom25 $bn B
9South Korea21 $bn B
10Italy20 $bn B
11Spain16 $bn B
12Taiwan13 $bn B
13India9 $bn B
14Finland7 $bn C
15Netherlands6 $bn C

Top 15 of 17. The full ranking is in the interactive atlas.

Control: who could stop you

Ranked by chokepoint score, aggregate (leader = 100) · 12 countries with a non-zero value

Chokepoint leverage — sub-layer share weighted by substitutability. Italy and Denmark appear on cable positions no other basis surfaces.
#CountryChokepoint score, aggregate (leader = 100)
1China100 C
2United States89.5 C
3Japan55 C
4South Korea39.3 C
5France39.1 C
6Germany35.5 C
7Italy31 C
8Switzerland16.7 C
9Denmark10.6 C
10India5.2 C
11Finland4.7 C
12United Kingdom4.6 C

Top 12 of 12. The full ranking is in the interactive atlas.

Largest suppliers

54 suppliers sit in this tier; the 20 largest by revenue are below. Revenue is the group or segment figure closest to this tier's perimeter, which is why the ownership basis is graded no better than B even where every line is filed.

CompanyDomicileRevenue
Schneider Electric — Electrical distribution, DC powerVery large share of revenue sits outside the grid perimeter.FR$41bn
GE Vernova — Gas turbines, grid equipmentLargest single position in heavy-duty gas turbines.US$38bn
Siemens Energy — Turbines, grid technologyRecord order backlog; gas turbine unit sales roughly doubled 2024→2025.DE$28bn
National Grid — TSO, networksGB$24bn
Mitsubishi Heavy Industries — Gas turbines, nuclearThird of the three OEMs that dominate plants under construction.JP$22bn
Prysmian — HV and submarine cableLargest single cable position; capacity expansion announced through 2027.IT$18bn
Vestas — Wind turbinesGeneration equipment rather than grid.DK$18bn
Eaton — Electrical systems, switchgearIrish-incorporated historically; classified here by principal operating domicile.US$17bn
Hitachi Energy — Transformers, HVDCSwiss-domiciled, Japanese-owned — appears under Switzerland on the ownership basis.CH$16bn
ABB — Electrification, switchgearCH$16bn
Shanghai Electric — Turbines, nuclearCN$16bn
Iberdrola — Generation and networksUtility, included for network build scope.ES$15bn
TBEA — Transformers, cableCN$14bn
Delta Electronics — Power electronics, DC powerLarge position in data-centre power conversion.TW$13bn
Mitsubishi Electric — Transformers, switchgearJP$12bn
State Grid affiliates — Grid equipmentAggregated equipment arms; boundaries are opaque.CN$12bn
Ørsted — Offshore generationDK$11bn
Vertiv — UPS, power distribution, thermalDirect exposure to data-centre electrical fit-out.US$10bn
Électricité de France — Nuclear new buildNuclear engineering scope only.FR$10bn
Sumitomo Electric — HV cable, opticalJP$9bn
Open this tier in the interactive atlas →

These tables are downloadable as CSV. Every figure carries a grade, and a C-grade figure is an author estimate — never cite one.

Findings in this tier

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